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The Relay Cash Flow Compass Report: Expecting growth but feeling broke

The Relay Cash Flow Compass Report 2025 offers an in-depth analysis of the financial health, cash flow challenges, and growth expectations of 1,004 small and medium-sized businesses across the United States, drawing on original survey data collected in partnership with Relay.

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Description

Businesses remain highly optimistic, with 94% expecting growth in 2025, yet more than half hold less than 31 days of operating expenses in reserve, exposing them to significant risk. Despite 82% of firms reporting profitability, 94% face major barriers, including rising costs, labor challenges, and uncertain cash flow timing. While most owners feel confident managing finances, only 43% have adequate reserves to handle disruptions, and just 31% actively optimize their cash flow. AI and digital banking tools are increasingly trusted, with 64% of business leaders open to using AI for cash flow management.

Key Takeaways:

  • 94% of US SMEs expect growth in the year ahead, but optimism is paired with thin margins and a lack of runway.
  • 51% of businesses have less than 31 days of cash on hand, while 88% struggled with unexpected cash flow issues in the past year.
  • Rising costs (42%), economic uncertainty (38%), and staffing (28%) are the top barriers to profitability.
  • While 95% of owners feel confident, only 43% are financially prepared for disruptions, and less than a third proactively manage cash flow.
  • SMEs increasingly trust digital and AI-driven banking solutions for managing expenses, forecasting cash flow, and building resilience.